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The longer the time period of the SMA, the greater the smoothing and the slower the reaction to changes in the market. For this reason, the SMA, like other lagging indicators, is not the best trading indicator for receiving advanced warning of a movement in the market. That being said, the SMA is one of the best Forex indicators when it comes to confirming a trend.
It often operates as one of multiple SMAs on the same chart with different time periods — one or more with a shorter time period and one with a longer time period. The SMA signals a new trend may be starting when the short-term average crosses over the long-term average.
If the short-term average is moving above the long-term average, this may signal the beginning of an uptrend. If the long-term average is moving above the short-term average, this may signal the beginning of a downtrend. You can experiment with different period lengths to find out what works best for you.
Whilst similar to the simple moving average, the Exponential Moving Average EMA works out the average price over a specified time period but gives a higher weighting to the more recent price values. The amount by which this weighting decreases for each successively older price value is exponential, hence the name. This means that the EMA will respond more quickly to price changes. A very simple Forex trading strategy using a combination of two moving averages, is to trade each time the moving averages cross.
With this system, you will always have a position, either long or short for the currency pair being traded. You then exit your trade when the shorter MA crosses the longer MA. The next step is to place a new trade in the opposite direction to the one you have just exited. By doing this, you are effectively squaring and reversing.
Date Range: 28 June 8 July Date Captured: 8 July Past performance is not necessarily an indication of future performance. If you do not want to be in the market all the time, this is not going to be the best Forex indicator trading strategy for you.
In that case, a combination using a third MA might suit you better. A triple moving average strategy uses a third MA. The longest time frame acts as a trend filter. When the shortest MA crosses the middle one, you do not always place the trade. The filter says that you can only place long trades when both shorter MAs are above the longest MA.
You can only go short when both are below the longest MA. Date Range: 27 October - 8 July Benefit from the most advanced Forex indicators and improve your overall trading experience with the Supreme Edition add-on for MT4 and MT5 exclusively from Admirals!
This advanced version of MetaTrader offers excellent additional features such as the correlation matrix, which enables you to view and contrast various currency pairs in real-time, or the mini trader widget - which allows you to buy or sell via a small window while you continue with everything else you need to do. Date Range: 28 June - 8 July Date Captured 8 July Not only does it identify a trend, but it also attempts to measure the strength of the trend.
In terms of giving you a feeling for the strength behind the move, it is one of the best indicators for Forex. When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it is a sell signal. When it crosses above the signal line, it is a buy signal. You can set all three parameters 26, 12 and 9 as you wish. As with moving averages, experimentation will help you to find the optimal settings that work for you.
Any list of the best Forex indicators needs to include some form of volatility channel - which is another method of identifying a trend. A Bollinger Band is a volatility channel invented by financial analyst John Bollinger, more than 30 years ago and it is still among the most popular trading indicators for Forex. The most common values are 2 or 2. In statistics, the standard deviation is a measure of how spread apart the values of a data set are.
In finance, standard deviation acts as a way of gauging volatility. A Bollinger band will adjust to market volatility. It widens as volatility increases and narrows as volatility decreases. A long-term trend-following system using Bollinger bands might use two standard deviations and a day moving average.
You would initiate a long position if the previous day's close was above the top of the channel, and you might take a short if the previous day's close is lower than the bottom of the band. The exit point would be the point when the previous day's close crosses back through the moving average. Date Range: 30 June - 8 July The Fibonacci retracement indicator is based on the idea that after an extreme move, a market will have an increased chance of retracing by certain key proportions.
Those proportions come from the Fibonacci sequence. This is a sequence of numbers popularised by the Italian mathematician, Fibonacci. The modern sequence begins with 0 and 1. Any subsequent number is the sum of the preceding two numbers in the sequence. The Fibonacci ratios come from these numbers. The most important ratio is 0. This number is calculated by looking at the ratio of one number to the number immediately following it in the sequence. This value tends to move toward 0. Another key ratio is 0.
This is derived from the ratio of a number to another number two places further on in the sequence. The ratio tends to move toward 0. The last important key ratio is 0. This is derived from the ratio of a number to another number three places on in the sequence. The theory is that after a major price move, subsequent levels of support and resistance will occur close to levels suggested by the Fibonacci ratios. This difference is then smoothed and compared to a moving average of its own.
When the current smoothed average is above its own moving average, then the histogram at the bottom of the chart below is positive and an uptrend is confirmed. On the flip side, when the current smoothed average is below its moving average, then the histogram at the bottom of the figure below is negative and a downtrend is confirmed.
In essence, when the trend-following moving average combination is bearish short-term average below long-term average and the MACD histogram is negative, then we have a confirmed downtrend. When both are positive, then we have a confirmed uptrend.
At the bottom of the chart below, we see another trend-confirmation tool that might be considered in addition to or in place of MACD. It is the rate of change indicator ROC. As displayed in the chart below, the orange-colored line measures today's closing price divided by the closing price 28 trading days ago. Readings above 1. The blue line represents a day moving average of the daily ROC readings. Here, if the red line is above the blue line, then the ROC is confirming an uptrend.
If the red line is below the blue line, then we have a confirmed downtrend. A bearish configuration for the ROC indicator red line below blue :. After opting to follow the direction of the major trend, a trader must decide whether they are more comfortable jumping in as soon as a clear trend is established or after a pullback occurs.
In other words, if the trend is determined to be bullish, the choice becomes whether to buy into strength or buy into weakness. If you decide to get in as quickly as possible, you can consider entering a trade as soon as an uptrend or downtrend is confirmed. On the other hand, you could wait for a pullback within the larger overall primary trend in the hope that this offers a lower risk opportunity. There are many indicators that can fit this bill. However, one that is useful from a trading standpoint is the three-day relative strength index , or three-day RSI for short.
This indicator calculates the cumulative sum of up days and down days over the window period and calculates a value that can range from zero to If all of the price action is to the upside, the indicator will approach ; if all of the price action is to the downside, then the indicator will approach zero.
A reading of 50 is considered neutral. Generally speaking, a trader looking to enter on pullbacks would consider going long if the day moving average is above the day and the three-day RSI drops below a certain trigger level, such as 20, which would indicate an oversold position. Conversely, the trader might consider entering a short position if the day is below the day and the three-day RSI rises above a certain level, such as 80, which would indicate an overbought position.
Different traders may prefer using different trigger levels. The last type of indicator that a forex trader needs is something to help determine when to take a profit on a winning trade. Here, too, there are many choices available. In fact, the three-day RSI can also fit into this category. In other words, a trader holding a long position might consider taking some profits if the three-day RSI rises to a high level of 80 or more. Conversely, a trader holding a short position might consider taking some profit if the three-day RSI declines to a low level, such as 20 or less.
Another useful profit-taking tool is a popular indicator known as Bollinger Bands. This tool takes the standard deviation of price-data changes over a period, and then adds and subtracts it from the average closing price over that same time frame, to create trading "bands. A trader holding a long position might consider taking some profits if the price reaches the upper band, and a trader holding a short position might consider taking some profits if the price reaches the lower band.
A final profit-taking tool would be a " trailing stop. There are many ways to arrive at a trailing stop. The chart below illustrates just one of these ways. Each day the average true range over the past three trading days is multiplied by five and used to calculate a trailing stop price that can only move sideways or lower for a short trade , or sideways or higher for a long trade.
If you are hesitant to get into the forex market and are waiting for an obvious entry point, you may find yourself sitting on the sidelines for a long while. By learning a variety of forex indicators, you can determine suitable strategies for choosing profitable times to back a given currency pair. Also, continued monitoring of these indicators will give strong signals that can point you toward a buy or sell signal.
As with any investment, strong analysis will minimize potential risks. Trading Strategies. Technical Analysis Basic Education. Advanced Technical Analysis Concepts. Your Money. Personal Finance. Your Practice. Popular Courses.
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